This is half-pie.

inflationary behaviour

Posted 1. August 2007, 23:09 in , by Alan Macdougall, received 5 comments.

The other morning Bella asked a question that every parent dreads. One that inevitably leads to hours of patient and potentially embarrassing explanations, sometimes even with cryptic little line diagrams that seem to make little apparent sense.

“Dad”, she said, “what do they mean by funding our currency?”

“Uhhh…”, I said, “perhaps you can ask your mother…”

Damn Morning Report! Bother the media for making such a tricky subject such an open and public topic of conversation! And just how does one explain the carry trade to a six-year-old?

That it should be a topic of discussion at all is really my own fault. People like me probably irritate the NZ Reserve Bank Governor, Dr Alan Bollard. Here I am, not saving enough, busily borrowing from the apocryphal Japanese housewives and Belgian dentists to sustain my hedonistic and inflation-causing debt-fuelled lifestyle:

[...] we are consuming and investing much more than we are saving. [...] the household sector, which represents a large part of the economy, has been running down its savings in spectacular fashion.

Yup, that’s me all right. The camera I bought the other week is, I imagine, a good example of the kind of consumption that’s sending this country to hell. I should really have been saving the $$$, probably by paying down the mortgage again.

And then there’s the exchange rate, which is relatively higher than it should be if we want our exporters to earn us hard currency.

But on the other hand, the high exchange rate should make imports cheaper, right? That’s got to be good hasn’t it?

I don’t usually think too hard about this stuff – I’m no economist – except that I ran across the same camera on Amazon the other day. And its quoted price in US dollars was pretty good:

camera price

But comparing this back in New Zealand, what I thought was a pretty good price:

the same camera at the PhotoWarehouse.co.nz, 1 August 2007

Now currently the exchange rate is around $1 NZ: $0.75 US. This means that our “good price” is currently US$1330, or over four hundred US dollars more than the current “good price” in the US itself. (Last week, the difference was five hundred US dollars… but that’s a different story.) In other words, the same camera costs almost 50% more in New Zealand.

Now I can accept that because of the size of our market, and the distance, and all that stuff, that we’ll always pay a premium over places like the US. But 50%? That’s bloody ridiculous. Someone’s making a bundle.

So I wonder: who is worse from Dr Bollard’s perspective? Me for buying the thing at such a silly price? Or the importer and retailer, for not passing on the huge gains handed to them by all the exchange rate rises over the last few months?

Me, no doubt. Yes, it was me.

Comments

  1. Patrick Quinn-Graham
    2 August 2007, 00:53 #

    Quite frankly I’m sick of the exchange rate being so darn high.

    This is mostly because I’m sending money to NZ (that student loan won’t just pay itself back, sadly), and at current rates it’ll take a good extra couple of months to pay off.

  2. Alan
    2 August 2007, 06:33 #

    But then you are earning £££, so in theory, and despite the exchange rate, it should be faster for you to pay it off from there than if you were here in New Zealand.

    (I did say “in theory”. I never quite managed the trick of saving money when I was in the UK ten years ago… but then hopefully you are earning more than £6 an hour…)

  3. Patrick Quinn-Graham
    2 August 2007, 10:11 #

    You make a reasonable point, and the large chunk of £s that migrate from my UK bank account to my NZ one each month would support your theory. It’s mostly that the amount dropped by $30 (that’s over £10! that could buy a… um… not very much) this month compared to last.

    Quick maths suggests that even after tax I am in fact earning more than £6 an hour. Hoorah!

  4. Mr Reasonable
    2 August 2007, 19:30 #

    The retailers:

    a) are making hay while the sun shines;
    b) are not worried ‘cause all the credit is being funded by the Finance Companies;
    c) ain’t bothered ‘cause the finance companies have borrowed the money that they lent to the public, from the public anyway who are buying the stuff on credit…..
    d) will carry on ripping us off until we stop buying and find an easy way to get goods from overseas here without them…

    We only mostly buy from shops because of the safety of the “warranty” given by official resellers but how much is that really worth?

  5. Alan
    2 August 2007, 19:35 #

    As it happens that brand of camera carries a global warranty, so it doesn’t matter where you buy it from.

    It’s just a pity Amazon won’t let you buy it from them.

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